Wars of Yugoslav Succession .
Publié le 03/05/2013
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of Yugoslav succession was over.
In January 1992 members of the European Community (EC; after 1993 the European Union, EU) recognized Slovenia’s independencealong with that of Croatia.
The United States and other countries did so shortly thereafter.
IV THE WAR IN CROATIA
As the Yugoslav army withdrew from Slovenia in July 1991, a second and far more serious conflict erupted in Croatia.
But the road to war in Croatia began more than ayear earlier.
In April and May 1990 the Croatian Democratic Union ( Hrvatska Demokratska Zajednica, or HDZ), an anti-Communist and nationalist party founded and led by Franjo Tudjman, won Croatia’s first democratic elections.
Tudjman, a former Communist general and historian who had been briefly imprisoned for Croatiannationalism in the 1970s and again in the early 1980s, was elected president of Croatia.
Relations between the new regime and the Serb minority rapidly deteriorated.(Serbs accounted for 12 percent of the republic’s population in the 1991 census.) The government began to fire Serbs from jobs in the Croatian police, statebureaucracy, and state-owned companies.
Serbs were alarmed by the reintroduction of historic Croatian symbols and insignia that had also been used by the Ustaše, afascist organization that had run Croatia as an Axis puppet state during World War II.
The Ustaše had massacred or expelled hundreds of thousands of Serbs during thewar.
Tudjman tended to rule in an authoritarian way and refused to condemn the former Ustaše state and its crimes.
As a result many Serbs in Croatia becameconvinced that the HDZ sought to restore the Ustaše regime.
The government of Serbian president Milošević and state-controlled media in Serbia encouraged these fears.
The Serbian government and media accused the Croatiangovernment of intimidation and “cultural genocide” of the Serb minority.
Miloševi ć also argued that Croatian Serbs and Bosnian Serbs had the same right to secede fromCroatia and Bosnia, and to join Serbia, as Croats and Slovenes had to secede from Yugoslavia and create independent states.
This argument represented a return tothe Greater Serbia idea, a concept that was first espoused by Serb nationalists in the late 19th century and that called for the incorporation of all Serb-inhabitedterritories into Serbia.
About one-third of Croatian Serbs were concentrated in three areas: an arc of territory around northwestern Bosnia called Krajina; a portion of western Slavonia, in theeastern part of Croatia; and eastern Slavonia and Baranja, near the border with Serbia.
In the summer of 1990 tensions between Serbs and Croats in Krajina escalatedinto confrontations between Croatia’s new special police and armed Serbs.
In a referendum organized by a self-proclaimed Serb National Council, the Serbs of Krajinavoted overwhelmingly for autonomy.
The Croatian government tried in vain to prevent the referendum.
By early fall the Serbs had virtually eliminated Croatianauthority in most of Krajina.
Rebel Serbs blocked the only railroad and most roads from inland parts of Croatia to the republic’s Dalmatian coast.
In March 1991, threemonths before Croatia’s declaration of independence from Yugoslavia, the Krajina Serbs’ repeated declarations of autonomy became a declaration of separation fromCroatia, followed two weeks later by a declaration of union with Serbia.
The Serb-dominated Yugoslav army began to actively support and arm the Krajina Serbs.
In May 1991 an overwhelming majority of Croatian voters chose independence in a referendum that was boycotted by almost all Croatian Serbs.
On June 25, 1991,Croatia declared its independence.
Armed clashes quickly evolved into full-scale war between Croatian special police and military forces on one side and Yugoslav armyand Croatian Serb forces on the other.
The Yugoslav army, which was gradually deserted by its non-Serb officers and conscripted soldiers, became an almost exclusivelySerb army.
Soon, Miloševi ć purged the army’s top command of Serb generals who still believed that their mission was to preserve Tito’s Yugoslavia.
Miloševi ćtransformed the army’s objective into the unification of all Serb-populated territories with the Serbian state—that is, the creation of a Greater Serbia.
The Yugoslav army not only suffered from desertions but also encountered difficulty in mobilizing army reservists and new conscripts from Serbia.
As a result, it tendedto avoid infantry combat in favor of massive artillery shelling of Croatian forces and besieged cities.
Beginning in October 1991, the Yugoslav army and navy besiegedand shelled Dubrovnik, which is classified as a World Heritage Site by the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO).
The assault onDubrovnik resulted in an international image of Serbs as brutal aggressors.
Internationally broadcast scenes of the Serbs’ three-month siege of Vukovar, a multinationaltown in eastern Slavonia, had a similar effect.
Vukovar finally fell to the Serbs in mid-November 1991.
It was almost totally destroyed, with over 2,300 people killed andthousands wounded.
The war in Croatia was also characterized by a deliberate strategy of ethnic cleansing, through expulsions and massacres, of Croats and sometimes other non-Serbsfrom Serb-controlled territories.
At times, Croats similarly expelled or murdered Serb civilians in contested districts.
However, the focus by the international media onmore widespread ethnic cleansing by Serbs, later repeated in Bosnia, further reinforced negative views of Serbs and the role of Miloševi ć’s Serbia in the wars ofYugoslav succession.
In December 1991, under prodding by the German government, the EC members moved toward recognition of Croatian and Slovenian independence.
The Germangovernment argued that early recognition of independence would halt the war in Croatia.
United Nations (UN) secretary general Javier Pérez de Cuéllar, his specialenvoy in Croatia, and some EC governments warned that early recognition would inevitably lead to Bosnia’s secession and a bloodier war there.
Nevertheless, in mid-January 1992 the EC members recognized Croatia and Slovenia as independent states.
UN special envoy Cyrus Vance, a former United States secretary of state, negotiated a lasting ceasefire in December 1991.
By that time, Serb forces were in control ofnearly one-third of Croatia.
They called the main area they controlled the Republic of Serbian Krajina.
In January 1992, under the terms of the ceasefire, all theseterritories were incorporated into four UN Protected Areas (UNPAs): two in Krajina, one in western Slavonia, and one in eastern Slavonia and Baranja.
The Yugoslavarmy withdrew from these areas and was replaced by a UN Protection Force (UNPROFOR), which eventually consisted of 14,000 UN troops.
UNPROFOR’s formalmandate was to enforce the ceasefire.
However, the UNPROFOR troops also served to deter any attempt by a growing and better armed Croatian army to reconquerthe Krajina UNPAs.
This situation endured until the Croatian army, defying the UN, easily overran the smallest UNPA, in western Slavonia, in May 1995.
In August 1995 the Croats launcheda lightning offensive against the two western Krajina UNPAs, meeting little resistance.
The Krajina Serb army fled.
Most of Krajina’s Serbs went with them, under Croatthreat or in panic, fleeing to Bosnia and Serbia.
At the end of 1995, Tudjman and Miloševi ć, under U.S.
pressure, negotiated a side deal on the last UNPA along with the Dayton peace accord, which ended the war inBosnia (discussed below).
As a result of their deal, the remaining UNPA in eastern Slavonia and Baranja was placed under UN military and civil administration for a year,later extended until 1998, before being restored to Croatia.
It was fully reintegrated into Croatia in January 1998, leading to a gradual exodus by its Serb population.
V THE WAR IN BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA
Bosnia and Herzegovina (often simply called Bosnia) was an intricate patchwork of ethnic and religious communities and had a history of periodic intercommunalviolence.
Many observers had long regarded it as the Yugoslav republic where civil war was most likely and believed that conflict there would be especially bloody ifYugoslavia disintegrated.
None of Bosnia’s three official nations—Muslim Slavs, Croats, and Serbs—constituted a majority of the population.
In the 1991 census MuslimSlavs (or Bosniaks) made up 44 percent of the population of 4.4 million, Serbs made up 31 percent, and Croats made up 17 percent, while 5.5 percent declaredthemselves “Yugoslavs.” The remaining 2.5 percent comprised various small minority groups, such as Roma and Jews.
Both Serbia and Croatia had historic claims to allor parts of Bosnia.
Bosnia held its first multiparty elections in the fall of 1990.
Three nationalist parties, one for each of the major ethnic groups, garnered 76 percent of the popular vote.
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